Monday Service Play Thread 10/25/2021

[BuzzKill]

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[BuzzKill]

Jason Sharpe

F* Seahawks +4.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks

NFL Monday MAGIC....SEAHAWKS

 

[BuzzKill]

Jeff Ma

Saints

 

[BuzzKill]

Mike Missanelli

Saints -5

 

[BuzzKill]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 25 2021 8:15PM
473 NOS / 474 SEA UNDER 44.5 BetOnlinedouble-dime bet

Analysis:

The Saints last game against Washington has perhaps made the oddsmakers forget that this is a dead nuts under team. The Saints offense ranks last in the NFL in explosive plays (20+ yard gains). In their last 9 non Drew Brees starts over the last two seasons, just twice has a Saints game finished with 45 or more points. Surely this is a game where Sean Payton can instruct Jameis Winston to take care of the ball, as Seattle's offense is unlikely to threaten this Saints defense much.

Why is this Saints defense not going to be threatened? Well, it's because we can expect a run heavy attack from the Seahawks. HC Pete Carroll has said on the run game "That's how we've played when we're at our best for years. There's a lot of people who want to gripe and complain about running the football, but you saw, we scored 20 points in the 2nd half, and we did it by controlling the football game." The Saints are the leagues top ranked run defense in YPC allowed, and were 3rd last season.

 

[BuzzKill]

---

 

[BuzzKill]

Maddux

J* Saints -3.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Dr Bob

C* Saints -5.5

 

[bribux]

Greenpunter


Seattle Seahawks - New Orleans Saints


Seattle Seahawks +5

 

[BuzzKill]

Pickswise Sports

NFL
B* Under 42.5
A* Saints -4

NBA
B* Bulls -140 (Moneyline)
B* Bulls/Raptors Under 212.5
B* Hawks/Pistons Over 213
B* Trailblazers +3

NHL
B* Tampa Bay -200
B* Tampa Bay/Buffalo Under 6
B* Carolina -115

 

[BuzzKill]

Randy Chambers

NFL - Seattle Seahawks +4.5

 

[BuzzKill]

Alan Scozzari

Spain LaLiga
Celta Vigo 0 +100

 

[BuzzKill]

vipcomboticket

Bohemians v Waterford : Bohemians Over 1.5 @ 1.52
Aalborg v Viborg : Aalborg Over 1.5 @ 1.72

Total Odds : 2.61

 

[BuzzKill]

Andrew McInnis

D% - Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes
Total Over 6.0 (-120)

 

[BuzzKill]

MNF Sharp Action

8:15 p.m. ET: New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks

These NFC non-division foes are trending in opposite directions. The Saints (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) are coming off a bye having won two of their last three games, most recently beating Washington 33-22 and covering as 2.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Seahawks (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS) have dropped two straight and just fell to the Steeelers 23-20, although Seattle covered as 5.5-point road dogs.

This line opened with New Orleans listed as a 3.5-point road favorite. The public is all over the Saints and happy to fade Geno Smith and the Russell Wilson-less Seahawks. This lopsided betting pushed New Orleans all the way up to -5.5 during the week. Then we saw a wave of buyback hit Seattle plus the points, dropping the line back down to 4.

Both teams match several profitable betting systems. Favorites off a bye, like the Saints, are roughly 58% ATS the last decade. Road favorites off a bye improve to 66% ATS. Meanwhile, Seattle has value as a contrarian inflated dog in a heavily bet game. Primetime dogs are 13-7 ATS (65%). Conference dogs are 43-30 ATS (59%). Conference dogs 7 or less are 34-20 ATS (63%).

We've also seen some under money hit the market, dropping the total from 44 to 41.5. When the total is a low 45 or less, the under is 19-11 (63%) this season. Weather could play a factor in this one. The forecast calls for low 50s with rain and 15 MPH winds. Shawn Hochuli, the lead ref, has historically favored unders (55%). The Saints are 3-2 to the under this season. The Seahawks are 4-1-1 to the under.

 

[BuzzKill]

R.J. White

SEATTLE +5

SEATTLE UNDER 42.5

 

[RamWow]

Any super contest consensus picks from yesterday?
Ty

 

[BuzzKill]

Any super contest consensus picks from yesterday?
Ty

 

[Equalizer1414]

Northcoast Late Phone:
2* Seattle (+4) New Orleans
Top Opinions:
Monday Night Marquee: Under 41.5 New Orleans/Seattle